GreenCard Radar

F1 Mexico Priority Date Forecast

F1 is the family category for unmarried adult sons and daughters of U.S. citizens, and Mexico carries a multi-year backlog that moves unevenly. Here is how the F1 Mexico Final Action Date has actually moved, and what our velocity model projects from the current cutoff.

Current F1 Mexico Final Action Dates (July 2026): Nov 8, 2007

Cutoff movement

Jun 1992Feb 2000Nov 2007Oct 2009Jul 2026

Higher = a more recent priority date is being processed (faster). Flat or downward stretches are stalls and retrogressions. Months where the category was Unavailable are not plotted.

Worked example — priority date January 1, 2010

Over the trailing window this cutoff has not advanced on net (median 0 days/month, 0 retrogressions). We do not publish a forward date when the data shows no measurable forward movement — that would be a guess.

This is a statistical projection of cutoff movement, not a prediction of your individual case. Run your own date in the priority date calculator, or see the methodology and our accuracy scorecard.

Related

Sources & verification

Compiled and reviewed by the GreenCard Radar editorial team · Data as of July 2026

How we build & backtest these estimates →