GreenCard Radar

EB-2 China Priority Date Forecast

EB-2 China is one of the most heavily oversubscribed employment categories, and its Final Action Date advances in fits and starts — sometimes lagging, sometimes leading EB-3 China as applicants downgrade between the two. Here is how it has actually moved, and what our velocity model projects from the current cutoff.

Current EB-2 China Final Action Dates (July 2026): Sep 1, 2021

Cutoff movement

Mar 2005Jun 2013Sep 2021Oct 2009Jul 2026

Higher = a more recent priority date is being processed (faster). Flat or downward stretches are stalls and retrogressions. Months where the category was Unavailable are not plotted.

Worked example — priority date June 1, 2022

Over the trailing window this cutoff has not advanced on net (median 0 days/month, 0 retrogressions). We do not publish a forward date when the data shows no measurable forward movement — that would be a guess.

This is a statistical projection of cutoff movement, not a prediction of your individual case. Run your own date in the priority date calculator, or see the methodology and our accuracy scorecard.

Related

Sources & verification

Compiled and reviewed by the GreenCard Radar editorial team · Data as of July 2026

How we build & backtest these estimates →